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KATY's daily model path, its record on XLK, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$168.91
Nov 10, 2026 · −1.15% on the day
KATY call
BUY
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$169.55
+2.92% from $164.74
Path range
+2.3% to +4.6%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on XLK
13/14 hits
92.9% · 1 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 30% · 1.06× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Technology Select Sector SPDR, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $164.74 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $169.55 (+2.92%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +2.30% and +4.56% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, XLK has closed at $168.91 on Nov 10, 2026, +2.53% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On XLK, KATY's replay record is 13 hits and 1 misses in 14 tested calls (92.9%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −13.62% and XLK moved −17.12%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 30% implied volatility against about 29% realized, 1.06× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest XLK path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public XLK path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | BUY | $164.74 | $169.55 (+2.92%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +2.53% so far |
13 hits, 1 misses and 2 neutral in 14 replayed XLK calls (92.9% on direction; 85.7% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 3.45%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −13.62%; the actual move was −17.12% (direction hit, average path error 3.01%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $199.49 | $196.36 | +1.59% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $195.37 | $183.47 | +6.49% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $187.96 | $183.23 | +2.58% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $181.71 | $179.51 | +1.23% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $171.71 | $164.74 | +4.23% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 XLK option (38 days) is priced at 30.3% implied volatility, 1.06× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for XLK (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $164.74 it ends near $169.55 (+2.92%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of XLK right 13 times and wrong 1 times out of 14 tested calls (92.9%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of XLK and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.