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KATY's daily model path, its record on QQQ, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$674.76
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.68% on the day
KATY call
NEUTRAL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$658.65
+0.39% from $656.10
Path range
+0.1% to +1.6%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on QQQ
11/18 hits
61.1% · 7 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 24% · 1.11× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100), from its run on Nov 6, 2026, stays within KATY's ±1.5% no-call zone, so it is a NEUTRAL read rather than a call. Starting from the $656.10 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $658.65 (+0.39%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +0.06% and +1.65% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, QQQ has closed at $674.76 on Nov 10, 2026, +2.84% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. The call is scored after session 20.
On QQQ, KATY's replay record is 11 hits and 7 misses in 18 tested calls (61.1%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −7.80% and QQQ moved −12.67%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 24% implied volatility against about 22% realized, 1.11× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest QQQ path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public QQQ path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | NEUTRAL | $656.10 | $658.65 (+0.39%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +2.84% so far |
11 hits, 7 misses in 18 replayed QQQ calls (61.1% on direction; 50% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 6.14%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −7.80%; the actual move was −12.67% (direction hit, average path error 2.09%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $744.86 | $746.04 | −0.16% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $733.37 | $709.80 | +3.32% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $723.13 | $704.40 | +2.66% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $708.13 | $690.49 | +2.55% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $692.65 | $656.10 | +5.57% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 QQQ option (38 days) is priced at 24.0% implied volatility, 1.11× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for QQQ (run Nov 6, 2026) is NEUTRAL: from $656.10 it ends near $658.65 (+0.39%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of QQQ right 11 times and wrong 7 times out of 18 tested calls (61.1%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of QQQ and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.