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KATY's daily model path, its record on NVDA, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$168.89
Nov 10, 2026 · −5.47% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$172.99
−7.31% from $186.64
Path range
−7.3% to −0.4%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on NVDA
7/16 hits
43.8% · 9 misses
Options
RICH
IV 55% · 1.42× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for NVIDIA, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $186.64 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $172.99 (−7.31%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −7.31% and −0.43% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, NVDA has closed at $168.89 on Nov 10, 2026, −9.51% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On NVDA, KATY's replay record is 7 hits and 9 misses in 16 tested calls (43.8%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −17.31% and NVDA moved −18.60%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 55% implied volatility against about 39% realized, 1.42× realized, so options read rich. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest NVDA path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public NVDA path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $186.64 | $172.99 (−7.31%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · −9.51% so far |
7 hits, 9 misses in 16 replayed NVDA calls (43.8% on direction; 37.5% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 10.46%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −17.31%; the actual move was −18.60% (direction hit, average path error 2.77%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $232.45 | $226.32 | +2.71% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $223.58 | $214.13 | +4.41% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $212.36 | $210.96 | +0.66% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $201.92 | $204.64 | −1.33% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $189.60 | $186.64 | +1.59% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 NVDA option (38 days) is priced at 55.1% implied volatility, 1.42× the stock's realized volatility, which reads rich. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for NVDA (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $186.64 it ends near $172.99 (−7.31%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of NVDA right 7 times and wrong 9 times out of 16 tested calls (43.8%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of NVDA and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.