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KATY's daily model path, its record on SE, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$76.80
Nov 10, 2026 · −1.49% on the day
KATY call
BUY
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$113.43
+49.78% from $75.73
Path range
−4.2% to +49.8%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on SE
6/15 hits
40% · 9 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 53% · 1.28× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Sea Ltd, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $75.73 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $113.43 (+49.78%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −4.19% and +49.78% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, SE has closed at $76.80 on Nov 10, 2026, +1.41% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On SE, KATY's replay record is 6 hits and 9 misses in 15 tested calls (40%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +32.36% and SE moved −20.49%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 53% implied volatility against about 42% realized, 1.28× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest SE path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public SE path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | BUY | $75.73 | $113.43 (+49.78%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +1.41% so far |
6 hits, 9 misses in 15 replayed SE calls (40% on direction; 33.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 12.19%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +32.36%; the actual move was −20.49% (direction miss, average path error 36.61%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $97.89 | $95.88 | +2.10% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $101.12 | $93.77 | +7.84% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $108.30 | $74.63 | +45.12% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $116.82 | $74.24 | +57.35% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $126.07 | $75.73 | +66.47% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 SE option (38 days) is priced at 53.3% implied volatility, 1.28× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for SE (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $75.73 it ends near $113.43 (+49.78%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of SE right 6 times and wrong 9 times out of 15 tested calls (40%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of SE and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.