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KATY's daily model path, its record on ONON, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$34.70
Nov 10, 2026 · −7.54% on the day
KATY call
BUY
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$38.99
+4.36% from $37.36
Path range
−0.7% to +4.4%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on ONON
7/15 hits
46.7% · 8 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 46% · 1.14× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for On Holding, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $37.36 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $38.99 (+4.36%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −0.71% and +4.36% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, ONON has closed at $34.70 on Nov 10, 2026, −7.12% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On ONON, KATY's replay record is 7 hits and 8 misses in 15 tested calls (46.7%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +7.81% and ONON moved +6.47%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 46% implied volatility against about 40% realized, 1.14× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest ONON path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public ONON path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | BUY | $37.36 | $38.99 (+4.36%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · −7.12% so far |
7 hits, 8 misses in 15 replayed ONON calls (46.7% on direction; 46.7% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 14.67%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +7.81%; the actual move was +6.47% (direction hit, average path error 4.8%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $34.19 | $35.35 | −3.28% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $34.42 | $34.75 | −0.95% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $35.56 | $32.51 | +9.38% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $36.72 | $33.78 | +8.70% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $37.83 | $37.36 | +1.26% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 ONON option (38 days) is priced at 45.9% implied volatility, 1.14× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for ONON (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $37.36 it ends near $38.99 (+4.36%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of ONON right 7 times and wrong 8 times out of 15 tested calls (46.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of ONON and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.