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KATY's daily model path, its record on LOW, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$231.87
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.10% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$220.77
−1.68% from $224.55
Path range
−2.6% to −1.2%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on LOW
8/15 hits
53.3% · 7 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 34% · 1.15× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Lowe's, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $224.55 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $220.77 (−1.68%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −2.61% and −1.16% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, LOW has closed at $231.87 on Nov 10, 2026, +3.26% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On LOW, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 7 misses in 15 tested calls (53.3%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +21.12% and LOW moved +20.73%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 34% implied volatility against about 30% realized, 1.15× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest LOW path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public LOW path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $224.55 | $220.77 (−1.68%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +3.26% so far |
8 hits, 7 misses in 15 replayed LOW calls (53.3% on direction; 46.7% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 8.61%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +21.12%; the actual move was +20.73% (direction hit, average path error 3.59%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $188.56 | $185.57 | +1.61% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $199.15 | $197.38 | +0.90% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $211.90 | $198.68 | +6.65% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $218.85 | $209.07 | +4.68% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $225.28 | $224.55 | +0.33% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 LOW option (38 days) is priced at 34.4% implied volatility, 1.15× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for LOW (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $224.55 it ends near $220.77 (−1.68%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of LOW right 8 times and wrong 7 times out of 15 tested calls (53.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of LOW and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.