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KATY's daily model path, its record on SBUX, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$109.95
Nov 10, 2026 · +0.47% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$95.97
−8.96% from $105.41
Path range
−9.0% to −1.3%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on SBUX
9/13 hits
69.2% · 4 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 26% · 0.99× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Starbucks, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $105.41 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $95.97 (−8.96%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −8.97% and −1.30% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, SBUX has closed at $109.95 on Nov 10, 2026, +4.31% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On SBUX, KATY's replay record is 9 hits and 4 misses in 13 tested calls (69.2%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +3.37% and SBUX moved +16.15%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 26% implied volatility against about 26% realized, 0.99× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest SBUX path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public SBUX path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $105.41 | $95.97 (−8.96%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +4.31% so far |
9 hits, 4 misses and 2 neutral in 13 replayed SBUX calls (69.2% on direction; 53.8% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 4.97%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +3.37%; the actual move was +16.15% (direction hit, average path error 8.55%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $90.75 | $92.29 | −1.67% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $91.12 | $97.52 | −6.56% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $92.02 | $100.80 | −8.71% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $93.22 | $103.67 | −10.08% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $93.81 | $105.41 | −11.00% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 SBUX option (38 days) is priced at 25.9% implied volatility, 0.99× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for SBUX (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $105.41 it ends near $95.97 (−8.96%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of SBUX right 9 times and wrong 4 times out of 13 tested calls (69.2%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of SBUX and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.