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KATY's daily model path, its record on AAL, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$14.11
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.35% on the day
KATY call
In the app
newest run Nov 10, 2026
Replay record on AAL
6/9 hits
66.7% · 3 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 47% · 1.17× realized
KATY last ran its daily American Airlines path on Nov 10, 2026. This page publishes KATY's paths 24 hours or more after they run, so the newest one is not shown here yet; it is in the KATY app and the TradingView extension. AAL last closed at $14.11 on Nov 10, 2026.
On AAL, KATY's replay record is 6 hits and 3 misses in 9 tested calls (66.7%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −4.39% and AAL moved +13.88%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 47% implied volatility against about 40% realized, 1.17× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest AAL path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public AAL path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
No public AAL path has been captured on this page yet. Each path KATY publishes for AAL is added here and scored on its 20th session, misses included.
6 hits, 3 misses and 6 neutral in 9 replayed AAL calls (66.7% on direction; 66.7% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 6%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −4.39%; the actual move was +13.88% (direction miss, average path error 5.24%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 14, 2026 | $12.44 | $11.79 | +5.51% |
| 5 | Oct 20, 2026 | $12.30 | $12.11 | +1.57% |
| 10 | Oct 27, 2026 | $12.25 | $12.61 | −2.85% |
| 15 | Nov 3, 2026 | $12.23 | $12.82 | −4.60% |
| 20 | Nov 10, 2026 | $11.95 | $14.24 | −16.08% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 AAL option (38 days) is priced at 47.1% implied volatility, 1.17× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY last ran its AAL path on Nov 10, 2026. This page shows paths once they are 24 hours old; the newest one is in the KATY apps and TradingView extension (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of AAL right 6 times and wrong 3 times out of 9 tested calls (66.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of AAL and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.