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KATY's daily model path, its record on RCL, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$339.85
Nov 10, 2026 · +0.85% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$291.20
−10.99% from $327.16
Path range
−11.0% to −0.9%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on RCL
1/3 hits
33.3% · 2 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 38% · 0.95× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Royal Caribbean, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $327.16 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $291.20 (−10.99%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −10.99% and −0.93% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, RCL has closed at $339.85 on Nov 10, 2026, +3.88% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On RCL, KATY's replay record is 1 hits and 2 misses in 3 tested calls (33.3%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −9.74% and RCL moved +15.91%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 38% implied volatility against about 40% realized, 0.95× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest RCL path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public RCL path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $327.16 | $291.20 (−10.99%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +3.88% so far |
1 hits, 2 misses in 3 replayed RCL calls (33.3% on direction; 33.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 7.75%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −9.74%; the actual move was +15.91% (direction miss, average path error 8.93%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $281.54 | $280.67 | +0.31% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $278.51 | $277.68 | +0.30% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $266.74 | $276.48 | −3.52% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $263.84 | $307.18 | −14.11% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $254.77 | $327.16 | −22.13% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 RCL option (38 days) is priced at 38.0% implied volatility, 0.95× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for RCL (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $327.16 it ends near $291.20 (−10.99%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of RCL right 1 times and wrong 2 times out of 3 tested calls (33.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of RCL and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.