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KATY's daily model path, its record on OKTA, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$178.36
Nov 10, 2026 · +0.44% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$131.55
−22.02% from $168.69
Path range
−22.0% to +1.4%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on OKTA
4/15 hits
26.7% · 11 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 84% · 1.25× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Okta, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $168.69 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $131.55 (−22.02%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −22.02% and +1.35% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, OKTA has closed at $178.36 on Nov 10, 2026, +5.73% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On OKTA, KATY's replay record is 4 hits and 11 misses in 15 tested calls (26.7%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −49.71% and OKTA moved −27.33%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 84% implied volatility against about 67% realized, 1.25× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest OKTA path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public OKTA path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $168.69 | $131.55 (−22.02%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +5.73% so far |
4 hits, 11 misses in 15 replayed OKTA calls (26.7% on direction; 20% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 26.61%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −49.71%; the actual move was −27.33% (direction hit, average path error 28.1%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $216.67 | $227.08 | −4.58% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $180.66 | $187.26 | −3.52% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $127.66 | $213.05 | −40.08% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $124.10 | $208.24 | −40.41% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $116.73 | $168.69 | −30.80% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 OKTA option (38 days) is priced at 84.0% implied volatility, 1.25× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for OKTA (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $168.69 it ends near $131.55 (−22.02%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of OKTA right 4 times and wrong 11 times out of 15 tested calls (26.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of OKTA and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.