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KATY's daily model path, its record on CRWD, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$225.76
Nov 10, 2026 · −1.23% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$173.20
−20.15% from $216.90
Path range
−20.1% to +2.0%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on CRWD
11/16 hits
68.8% · 5 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 70% · 1.23× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for CrowdStrike, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $216.90 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $173.20 (−20.15%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −20.15% and +1.97% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, CRWD has closed at $225.76 on Nov 10, 2026, +4.08% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On CRWD, KATY's replay record is 11 hits and 5 misses in 16 tested calls (68.8%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −46.72% and CRWD moved −21.14%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 70% implied volatility against about 57% realized, 1.23× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest CRWD path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public CRWD path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $216.90 | $173.20 (−20.15%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +4.08% so far |
11 hits, 5 misses in 16 replayed CRWD calls (68.8% on direction; 68.8% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 40.54%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −46.72%; the actual move was −21.14% (direction hit, average path error 23.33%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $260.20 | $263.01 | −1.07% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $215.23 | $227.39 | −5.35% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $177.53 | $257.57 | −31.08% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $162.88 | $250.43 | −34.96% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $146.53 | $216.90 | −32.44% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 CRWD option (38 days) is priced at 69.7% implied volatility, 1.23× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for CRWD (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $216.90 it ends near $173.20 (−20.15%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of CRWD right 11 times and wrong 5 times out of 16 tested calls (68.8%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of CRWD and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.