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Atlassian (TEAM) stock forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on TEAM, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$148.60

Nov 10, 2026 · −4.07% on the day

KATY call

BUY

run Nov 6, 2026

Path end (20 sessions)

$160.75

+4.60% from $153.68

Path range

+1.4% to +7.8%

lowest and highest point of the path

Replay record on TEAM

6/13 hits

46.2% · 7 misses

Options

CHEAP

IV 56% · 0.85× realized

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY's latest public daily path for Atlassian, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $153.68 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $160.75 (+4.60%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +1.44% and +7.76% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.

Since that run, TEAM has closed at $148.60 on Nov 10, 2026, −3.31% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.

On TEAM, KATY's replay record is 6 hits and 7 misses in 13 tested calls (46.2%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −8.47% and TEAM moved −25.68%: a hit on direction.

In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 56% implied volatility against about 65% realized, 0.85× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.

$142.28$172.83$203.38$233.93path end $160.75Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest TEAM path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on TEAM

Every public TEAM path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

RunCallStart closePath endOutcome at 20 sessions
Nov 6, 2026BUY$153.68$160.75 (+4.60%)Open, 2/20 sessions · −3.31% so far

Replay record

6 hits, 7 misses and 2 neutral in 13 replayed TEAM calls (46.2% on direction; 46.2% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 11.65%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on TEAM, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −8.47%; the actual move was −25.68% (direction hit, average path error 7.84%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 12, 2026$202.17$207.75−2.69%
5Oct 16, 2026$196.92$207.82−5.24%
10Oct 23, 2026$195.03$227.61−14.31%
15Oct 30, 2026$189.04$191.72−1.40%
20Nov 6, 2026$189.27$153.68+23.16%

Options: rich or cheap?

The at-the-money 2026-12-18 TEAM option (38 days) is priced at 55.7% implied volatility, 0.85× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for TEAM stock?

KATY's latest public daily path for TEAM (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $153.68 it ends near $160.75 (+4.60%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on TEAM?

In replay, KATY called the direction of TEAM right 6 times and wrong 7 times out of 13 tested calls (46.2%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of TEAM and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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