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KATY's daily model path, its record on NBIS, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$134.00
Nov 10, 2026 · −5.27% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$125.16
−3.34% from $129.49
Path range
−3.3% to +8.2%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on NBIS
8/15 hits
53.3% · 7 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 112% · 1.03× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Nebius Group, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $129.49 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $125.16 (−3.34%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −3.34% and +8.21% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, NBIS has closed at $134.00 on Nov 10, 2026, +3.48% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On NBIS, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 7 misses in 15 tested calls (53.3%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −27.18% and NBIS moved −41.43%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 112% implied volatility against about 109% realized, 1.03× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest NBIS path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public NBIS path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $129.49 | $125.16 (−3.34%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +3.48% so far |
8 hits, 7 misses in 15 replayed NBIS calls (53.3% on direction; 53.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 17.22%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −27.18%; the actual move was −41.43% (direction hit, average path error 15.96%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $217.99 | $210.06 | +3.78% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $203.91 | $165.47 | +23.23% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $192.37 | $158.74 | +21.19% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $179.40 | $154.14 | +16.39% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $160.99 | $129.49 | +24.33% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 NBIS option (38 days) is priced at 111.8% implied volatility, 1.03× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for NBIS (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $129.49 it ends near $125.16 (−3.34%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of NBIS right 8 times and wrong 7 times out of 15 tested calls (53.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of NBIS and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.