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KATY's daily model path, its record on APH, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$79.95
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.94% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$73.11
−1.98% from $74.59
Path range
−2.0% to +2.9%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on APH
13/16 hits
81.2% · 3 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 45% · 0.92× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Amphenol, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $74.59 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $73.11 (−1.98%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −1.98% and +2.93% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, APH has closed at $79.95 on Nov 10, 2026, +7.19% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On APH, KATY's replay record is 13 hits and 3 misses in 16 tested calls (81.2%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −17.35% and APH moved −14.50%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 45% implied volatility against about 49% realized, 0.92× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest APH path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public APH path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $74.59 | $73.11 (−1.98%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +7.19% so far |
13 hits, 3 misses in 16 replayed APH calls (81.2% on direction; 81.2% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 14.48%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −17.35%; the actual move was −14.50% (direction hit, average path error 4.92%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $86.76 | $86.19 | +0.66% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $84.86 | $79.35 | +6.94% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $81.27 | $74.09 | +9.69% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $77.85 | $79.30 | −1.83% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $72.11 | $74.59 | −3.32% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 APH option (38 days) is priced at 44.9% implied volatility, 0.92× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for APH (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $74.59 it ends near $73.11 (−1.98%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of APH right 13 times and wrong 3 times out of 16 tested calls (81.2%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of APH and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.