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KATY's daily model path, its record on LITE, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$585.57
Nov 10, 2026 · −1.78% on the day
KATY call
BUY
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$555.11
+3.07% from $538.59
Path range
+0.5% to +12.7%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on LITE
7/15 hits
46.7% · 8 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 78% · 0.77× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Lumentum, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $538.59 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $555.11 (+3.07%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +0.52% and +12.71% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, LITE has closed at $585.57 on Nov 10, 2026, +8.72% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On LITE, KATY's replay record is 7 hits and 8 misses in 15 tested calls (46.7%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −29.35% and LITE moved −51.19%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 78% implied volatility against about 101% realized, 0.77× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest LITE path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public LITE path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | BUY | $538.59 | $555.11 (+3.07%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +8.72% so far |
7 hits, 8 misses in 15 replayed LITE calls (46.7% on direction; 40% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 18.6%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −29.35%; the actual move was −51.19% (direction hit, average path error 19.52%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $1,111.35 | $995.41 | +11.65% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $1,015.57 | $824.13 | +23.23% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $934.06 | $756.17 | +23.53% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $861.02 | $840.70 | +2.42% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $779.47 | $538.59 | +44.72% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 LITE option (38 days) is priced at 78.5% implied volatility, 0.77× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for LITE (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $538.59 it ends near $555.11 (+3.07%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of LITE right 7 times and wrong 8 times out of 15 tested calls (46.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of LITE and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.