QuantSignals › Forecasts › XOM
KATY's daily model path, its record on XOM, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$164.47
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.16% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$148.55
−10.44% from $165.87
Path range
−10.4% to −0.6%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on XOM
2/15 hits
13.3% · 13 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 29% · 1.09× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Exxon Mobil, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $165.87 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $148.55 (−10.44%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −10.44% and −0.60% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, XOM has closed at $164.47 on Nov 10, 2026, −0.84% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On XOM, KATY's replay record is 2 hits and 13 misses in 15 tested calls (13.3%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −13.87% and XOM moved −1.82%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 29% implied volatility against about 26% realized, 1.09× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest XOM path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public XOM path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $165.87 | $148.55 (−10.44%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · −0.84% so far |
2 hits, 13 misses in 15 replayed XOM calls (13.3% on direction; 13.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 9.04%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −13.87%; the actual move was −1.82% (direction hit, average path error 11.91%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $167.83 | $172.15 | −2.51% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $162.64 | $178.98 | −9.13% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $156.87 | $183.21 | −14.38% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $150.50 | $187.25 | −19.63% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $145.50 | $165.87 | −12.28% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 XOM option (38 days) is priced at 28.6% implied volatility, 1.09× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for XOM (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $165.87 it ends near $148.55 (−10.44%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of XOM right 2 times and wrong 13 times out of 15 tested calls (13.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of XOM and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Energy
Most viewed
Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.