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KATY's daily model path, its record on STX, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$501.62
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.89% on the day
KATY call
BUY
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$477.39
+3.56% from $460.99
Path range
+1.9% to +11.6%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on STX
9/15 hits
60% · 6 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 78% · 1.01× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Seagate Technology, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $460.99 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $477.39 (+3.56%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +1.85% and +11.56% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, STX has closed at $501.62 on Nov 10, 2026, +8.81% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On STX, KATY's replay record is 9 hits and 6 misses in 15 tested calls (60%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −19.17% and STX moved −41.13%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 78% implied volatility against about 77% realized, 1.01× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest STX path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public STX path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | BUY | $460.99 | $477.39 (+3.56%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +8.81% so far |
9 hits, 6 misses in 15 replayed STX calls (60% on direction; 53.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 10.1%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −19.17%; the actual move was −41.13% (direction hit, average path error 12%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $779.48 | $753.25 | +3.48% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $760.18 | $639.01 | +18.96% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $722.64 | $630.49 | +14.62% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $674.50 | $644.58 | +4.64% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $632.88 | $460.99 | +37.29% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 STX option (38 days) is priced at 77.5% implied volatility, 1.01× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for STX (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $460.99 it ends near $477.39 (+3.56%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of STX right 9 times and wrong 6 times out of 15 tested calls (60%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of STX and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.