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KATY's daily model path, its record on TXN, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$300.52
Nov 10, 2026 · +1.62% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$247.56
−10.74% from $277.36
Path range
−10.7% to −2.0%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on TXN
8/15 hits
53.3% · 7 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 44% · 1.11× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Texas Instruments, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $277.36 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $247.56 (−10.74%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −10.74% and −2.01% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, TXN has closed at $300.52 on Nov 10, 2026, +8.35% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On TXN, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 7 misses in 15 tested calls (53.3%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −19.45% and TXN moved −2.25%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 44% implied volatility against about 40% realized, 1.11× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest TXN path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public TXN path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $277.36 | $247.56 (−10.74%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +8.35% so far |
8 hits, 7 misses in 15 replayed TXN calls (53.3% on direction; 53.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 7.85%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −19.45%; the actual move was −2.25% (direction hit, average path error 11.4%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $283.87 | $281.74 | +0.76% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $271.43 | $276.48 | −1.83% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $257.40 | $284.69 | −9.59% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $246.33 | $300.84 | −18.12% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $228.56 | $277.36 | −17.59% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 TXN option (38 days) is priced at 44.3% implied volatility, 1.11× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for TXN (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $277.36 it ends near $247.56 (−10.74%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of TXN right 8 times and wrong 7 times out of 15 tested calls (53.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of TXN and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.