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KATY's daily model path, its record on NEM, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$119.96
Nov 10, 2026 · −4.15% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$98.18
−18.80% from $120.91
Path range
−18.8% to −0.4%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on NEM
8/14 hits
57.1% · 6 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 43% · 0.98× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Newmont, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $120.91 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $98.18 (−18.80%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −18.80% and −0.36% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, NEM has closed at $119.96 on Nov 10, 2026, −0.79% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move agrees with the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On NEM, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 6 misses in 14 tested calls (57.1%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −22.01% and NEM moved +2.61%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 43% implied volatility against about 43% realized, 0.98× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest NEM path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public NEM path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $120.91 | $98.18 (−18.80%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · −0.79% so far |
8 hits, 6 misses and 1 neutral in 14 replayed NEM calls (57.1% on direction; 57.1% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 12.74%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −22.01%; the actual move was +2.61% (direction miss, average path error 9.01%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $116.69 | $117.15 | −0.39% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $111.93 | $118.60 | −5.62% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $104.99 | $108.87 | −3.56% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $97.17 | $106.61 | −8.85% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $91.90 | $120.91 | −23.99% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 NEM option (38 days) is priced at 42.7% implied volatility, 0.98× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for NEM (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $120.91 it ends near $98.18 (−18.80%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of NEM right 8 times and wrong 6 times out of 14 tested calls (57.1%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of NEM and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.