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SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on GLD, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$369.36

Nov 10, 2026 · −2.68% on the day

KATY call

In the app

newest run Nov 10, 2026

Replay record on GLD

10/15 hits

66.7% · 5 misses

Options

CHEAP

IV 22% · 0.90× realized

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY last ran its daily SPDR Gold Shares path on Nov 10, 2026. This page publishes KATY's paths 24 hours or more after they run, so the newest one is not shown here yet; it is in the KATY app and the TradingView extension. GLD last closed at $369.36 on Nov 10, 2026.

On GLD, KATY's replay record is 10 hits and 5 misses in 15 tested calls (66.7%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −2.91% and GLD moved −2.91%: a hit on direction.

In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 22% implied volatility against about 25% realized, 0.90× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.

$350.00$377.95$405.90$433.85Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest GLD path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on GLD

Every public GLD path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

No public GLD path has been captured on this page yet. Each path KATY publishes for GLD is added here and scored on its 20th session, misses included.

Replay record

10 hits, 5 misses in 15 replayed GLD calls (66.7% on direction; 60% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 3.91%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on GLD, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −2.91%; the actual move was −2.91% (direction hit, average path error 1.43%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 14, 2026$383.53$375.99+2.01%
5Oct 20, 2026$378.89$377.65+0.33%
10Oct 27, 2026$374.41$372.28+0.57%
15Nov 3, 2026$373.84$359.26+4.06%
20Nov 10, 2026$370.55$370.56−0.00%

Options: rich or cheap?

The at-the-money 2026-12-18 GLD option (38 days) is priced at 22.0% implied volatility, 0.90× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for GLD?

KATY last ran its GLD path on Nov 10, 2026. This page shows paths once they are 24 hours old; the newest one is in the KATY apps and TradingView extension (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on GLD?

In replay, KATY called the direction of GLD right 10 times and wrong 5 times out of 15 tested calls (66.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of GLD and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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