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KATY's daily model path, its record on XYZ, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$85.58
Nov 10, 2026 · −3.36% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$74.60
−12.73% from $85.48
Path range
−12.7% to +0.1%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on XYZ
5/15 hits
33.3% · 10 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 36% · 0.80× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Block, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $85.48 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $74.60 (−12.73%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −12.73% and +0.08% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, XYZ has closed at $85.58 on Nov 10, 2026, +0.12% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On XYZ, KATY's replay record is 5 hits and 10 misses in 15 tested calls (33.3%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −5.90% and XYZ moved +10.67%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 36% implied volatility against about 46% realized, 0.80× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest XYZ path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public XYZ path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $85.48 | $74.60 (−12.73%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +0.12% so far |
5 hits, 10 misses in 15 replayed XYZ calls (33.3% on direction; 33.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 4.54%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −5.90%; the actual move was +10.67% (direction miss, average path error 5.09%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $76.65 | $76.82 | −0.22% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $75.62 | $77.89 | −2.91% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $73.96 | $76.46 | −3.27% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $72.81 | $76.22 | −4.47% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $72.68 | $85.48 | −14.97% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 XYZ option (38 days) is priced at 36.3% implied volatility, 0.80× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for XYZ (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $85.48 it ends near $74.60 (−12.73%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of XYZ right 5 times and wrong 10 times out of 15 tested calls (33.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of XYZ and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.