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KATY's daily model path, its record on SOXL, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$56.06
Nov 10, 2026 · −0.25% on the day
KATY call
NEUTRAL
run Nov 9, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$54.95
−1.21% from $55.63
Path range
−1.4% to +7.5%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on SOXL
8/8 hits
100% · 0 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 146% · 0.96× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X, from its run on Nov 9, 2026, stays within KATY's ±1.5% no-call zone, so it is a NEUTRAL read rather than a call. Starting from the $55.63 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $54.95 (−1.21%), around Dec 7, and ranges between −1.43% and +7.50% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, SOXL has closed at $56.06 on Nov 10, 2026, +0.77% from the start, 1 of 20 sessions in. The call is scored after session 20.
On SOXL, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 0 misses in 8 tested calls (100%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −35.22% and SOXL moved −56.68%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 146% implied volatility against about 152% realized, 0.96× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 9, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest SOXL path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public SOXL path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | NEUTRAL | $55.63 | $54.95 (−1.21%) | Open, 1/20 sessions · +0.77% so far |
8 hits, 0 misses in 8 replayed SOXL calls (100% on direction; 100% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 19.13%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −35.22%; the actual move was −56.68% (direction hit, average path error 28.28%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 13, 2026 | $130.44 | $127.57 | +2.25% |
| 5 | Oct 19, 2026 | $119.50 | $98.65 | +21.14% |
| 10 | Oct 26, 2026 | $104.44 | $90.50 | +15.40% |
| 15 | Nov 2, 2026 | $93.47 | $68.17 | +37.11% |
| 20 | Nov 9, 2026 | $83.18 | $55.63 | +49.52% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 SOXL option (38 days) is priced at 146.3% implied volatility, 0.96× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for SOXL (run Nov 9, 2026) is NEUTRAL: from $55.63 it ends near $54.95 (−1.21%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of SOXL right 8 times and wrong 0 times out of 8 tested calls (100%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of SOXL and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.