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KATY's daily model path, its record on RKLB, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$62.71
Nov 10, 2026 · +6.54% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$46.80
−11.81% from $53.07
Path range
−11.8% to −0.2%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on RKLB
9/13 hits
69.2% · 4 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 75% · 1.01× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Rocket Lab, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $53.07 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $46.80 (−11.81%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −11.82% and −0.16% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, RKLB has closed at $62.71 on Nov 10, 2026, +18.16% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On RKLB, KATY's replay record is 9 hits and 4 misses in 13 tested calls (69.2%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −31.71% and RKLB moved −22.20%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 75% implied volatility against about 74% realized, 1.01× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest RKLB path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public RKLB path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $53.07 | $46.80 (−11.81%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +18.16% so far |
9 hits, 4 misses and 2 neutral in 13 replayed RKLB calls (69.2% on direction; 69.2% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 10.99%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −31.71%; the actual move was −22.20% (direction hit, average path error 9.93%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $66.04 | $65.71 | +0.50% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $63.55 | $50.84 | +25.00% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $59.46 | $52.60 | +13.04% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $54.86 | $54.73 | +0.24% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $46.58 | $53.07 | −12.23% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 RKLB option (38 days) is priced at 74.8% implied volatility, 1.01× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for RKLB (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $53.07 it ends near $46.80 (−11.81%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of RKLB right 9 times and wrong 4 times out of 13 tested calls (69.2%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of RKLB and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.