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Rivian (RIVN) stock forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on RIVN, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$13.70

Nov 10, 2026 · −2.21% on the day

KATY call

SELL

run Nov 6, 2026

Path end (20 sessions)

$13.32

−2.14% from $13.61

Path range

−2.8% to −0.5%

lowest and highest point of the path

Replay record on RIVN

11/14 hits

78.6% · 3 misses

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY's latest public daily path for Rivian, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $13.61 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $13.32 (−2.14%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −2.84% and −0.47% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.

Since that run, RIVN has closed at $13.70 on Nov 10, 2026, +0.66% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.

On RIVN, KATY's replay record is 11 hits and 3 misses in 14 tested calls (78.6%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −3.90% and RIVN moved −2.51%: a hit on direction.

$10.99$13.13$15.27$17.41path end $13.32Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest RIVN path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on RIVN

Every public RIVN path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

RunCallStart closePath endOutcome at 20 sessions
Nov 6, 2026SELL$13.61$13.32 (−2.14%)Open, 2/20 sessions · +0.66% so far

Replay record

11 hits, 3 misses and 1 neutral in 14 replayed RIVN calls (78.6% on direction; 78.6% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 6.67%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on RIVN, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −3.90%; the actual move was −2.51% (direction hit, average path error 10.53%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 12, 2026$13.97$13.54+3.18%
5Oct 16, 2026$14.07$12.42+13.29%
10Oct 23, 2026$13.89$11.83+17.41%
15Oct 30, 2026$13.67$12.16+12.42%
20Nov 6, 2026$13.42$13.61−1.40%

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for RIVN stock?

KATY's latest public daily path for RIVN (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $13.61 it ends near $13.32 (−2.14%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on RIVN?

In replay, KATY called the direction of RIVN right 11 times and wrong 3 times out of 14 tested calls (78.6%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of RIVN and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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