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KATY's daily model path, its record on RIOT, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$18.08
Nov 10, 2026 · +2.38% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$15.00
−10.23% from $16.71
Path range
−10.2% to +2.0%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on RIOT
10/15 hits
66.7% · 5 misses
Options
FAIR
IV 96% · 1.08× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for Riot Platforms, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $16.71 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $15.00 (−10.23%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −10.23% and +2.04% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, RIOT has closed at $18.08 on Nov 10, 2026, +8.20% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On RIOT, KATY's replay record is 10 hits and 5 misses in 15 tested calls (66.7%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −16.20% and RIOT moved −1.04%: a hit on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 96% implied volatility against about 89% realized, 1.08× realized, so options read fairly priced. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest RIOT path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public RIOT path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $16.71 | $15.00 (−10.23%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +8.20% so far |
10 hits, 5 misses in 15 replayed RIOT calls (66.7% on direction; 60% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 14.23%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −16.20%; the actual move was −1.04% (direction hit, average path error 14.63%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $17.08 | $16.47 | +3.70% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $16.89 | $13.72 | +23.10% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $16.22 | $12.53 | +29.45% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $14.78 | $12.81 | +15.38% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $14.15 | $16.71 | −15.32% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 RIOT option (38 days) is priced at 96.4% implied volatility, 1.08× the stock's realized volatility, which reads fair. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for RIOT (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $16.71 it ends near $15.00 (−10.23%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of RIOT right 10 times and wrong 5 times out of 15 tested calls (66.7%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of RIOT and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.