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Netflix (NFLX) stock forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on NFLX, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$63.26

Nov 10, 2026 · −1.08% on the day

KATY call

BUY

run Nov 6, 2026

Path end (20 sessions)

$88.88

+40.17% from $63.41

Path range

+1.7% to +40.2%

lowest and highest point of the path

Replay record on NFLX

5/16 hits

31.2% · 11 misses

Options

CHEAP

IV 33% · 0.92× realized

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY's latest public daily path for Netflix, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $63.41 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $88.88 (+40.17%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +1.74% and +40.17% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.

Since that run, NFLX has closed at $63.26 on Nov 10, 2026, −0.24% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.

On NFLX, KATY's replay record is 5 hits and 11 misses in 16 tested calls (31.2%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +30.53% and NFLX moved −9.80%: a miss on direction.

In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 33% implied volatility against about 36% realized, 0.92× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.

$59.84$70.24$80.63$91.03path end $88.88Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest NFLX path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on NFLX

Every public NFLX path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

RunCallStart closePath endOutcome at 20 sessions
Nov 6, 2026BUY$63.41$88.88 (+40.17%)Open, 2/20 sessions · −0.24% so far

Replay record

5 hits, 11 misses in 16 replayed NFLX calls (31.2% on direction; 25% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 33.4%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on NFLX, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +30.53%; the actual move was −9.80% (direction miss, average path error 22.86%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 12, 2026$71.40$70.61+1.12%
5Oct 16, 2026$74.14$70.53+5.12%
10Oct 23, 2026$78.36$65.85+19.00%
15Oct 30, 2026$86.87$62.08+39.93%
20Nov 6, 2026$91.76$63.41+44.71%

Options: rich or cheap?

The at-the-money 2026-12-18 NFLX option (38 days) is priced at 33.3% implied volatility, 0.92× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for NFLX stock?

KATY's latest public daily path for NFLX (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $63.41 it ends near $88.88 (+40.17%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on NFLX?

In replay, KATY called the direction of NFLX right 5 times and wrong 11 times out of 16 tested calls (31.2%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of NFLX and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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