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KATY's daily model path, its record on MSCI, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.
Last close
$656.86
Nov 10, 2026 · +1.61% on the day
KATY call
SELL
run Nov 6, 2026
Path end (20 sessions)
$552.59
−13.79% from $641.01
Path range
−13.8% to −1.3%
lowest and highest point of the path
Replay record on MSCI
3/3 hits
100% · 0 misses
Options
CHEAP
IV 25% · 0.92× realized
KATY's latest public daily path for MSCI, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $641.01 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $552.59 (−13.79%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −13.79% and −1.25% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.
Since that run, MSCI has closed at $656.86 on Nov 10, 2026, +2.47% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.
On MSCI, KATY's replay record is 3 hits and 0 misses in 3 tested calls (100%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −1.34% and MSCI moved +13.43%: a miss on direction.
In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 25% implied volatility against about 28% realized, 0.92× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.
Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.
The KATY apps and extension show the newest MSCI path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
Every public MSCI path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.
| Run | Call | Start close | Path end | Outcome at 20 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | SELL | $641.01 | $552.59 (−13.79%) | Open, 2/20 sessions · +2.47% so far |
3 hits, 0 misses and 1 neutral in 3 replayed MSCI calls (100% on direction; 100% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 3.28%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.
KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −1.34%; the actual move was +13.43% (direction miss, average path error 7.89%).
| Step | Session | Model path | Actual close | Path vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 12, 2026 | $567.99 | $568.01 | −0.00% |
| 5 | Oct 16, 2026 | $565.95 | $569.08 | −0.55% |
| 10 | Oct 23, 2026 | $556.09 | $615.62 | −9.67% |
| 15 | Oct 30, 2026 | $553.89 | $623.38 | −11.15% |
| 20 | Nov 6, 2026 | $557.57 | $641.01 | −13.02% |
The at-the-money 2026-12-18 MSCI option (38 days) is priced at 25.3% implied volatility, 0.92× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.
KATY's latest public daily path for MSCI (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $641.01 it ends near $552.59 (−13.79%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).
In replay, KATY called the direction of MSCI right 3 times and wrong 0 times out of 3 tested calls (100%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.
KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of MSCI and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.
KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.
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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.