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Lockheed Martin (LMT) stock forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on LMT, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$603.12

Nov 10, 2026 · +2.54% on the day

KATY call

SELL

run Nov 6, 2026

Path end (20 sessions)

$529.30

−6.66% from $567.08

Path range

−7.0% to −0.3%

lowest and highest point of the path

Replay record on LMT

8/15 hits

53.3% · 7 misses

Options

CHEAP

IV 29% · 0.95× realized

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY's latest public daily path for Lockheed Martin, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points down, which KATY labels SELL. Starting from the $567.08 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $529.30 (−6.66%), around Dec 4, and ranges between −6.95% and −0.32% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.

Since that run, LMT has closed at $603.12 on Nov 10, 2026, +6.36% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.

On LMT, KATY's replay record is 8 hits and 7 misses in 15 tested calls (53.3%), above its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected −4.09% and LMT moved +11.28%: a miss on direction.

In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 29% implied volatility against about 31% realized, 0.95× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.

$487.67$543.49$599.32$655.14path end $529.30Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest LMT path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on LMT

Every public LMT path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

RunCallStart closePath endOutcome at 20 sessions
Nov 6, 2026SELL$567.08$529.30 (−6.66%)Open, 2/20 sessions · +6.36% so far

Replay record

8 hits, 7 misses in 15 replayed LMT calls (53.3% on direction; 53.3% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 5.46%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on LMT, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected −4.09%; the actual move was +11.28% (direction miss, average path error 13.89%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 12, 2026$502.39$511.88−1.85%
5Oct 16, 2026$500.73$552.09−9.30%
10Oct 23, 2026$501.82$604.18−16.94%
15Oct 30, 2026$495.53$636.95−22.20%
20Nov 6, 2026$488.73$567.08−13.82%

Options: rich or cheap?

The at-the-money 2026-12-18 LMT option (38 days) is priced at 29.5% implied volatility, 0.95× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for LMT stock?

KATY's latest public daily path for LMT (run Nov 6, 2026) is SELL: from $567.08 it ends near $529.30 (−6.66%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on LMT?

In replay, KATY called the direction of LMT right 8 times and wrong 7 times out of 15 tested calls (53.3%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of LMT and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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