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Booking Holdings (BKNG) stock forecast

KATY's daily model path, its record on BKNG, and the options read. Prices as of the Nov 10, 2026 close · page updated Nov 10, 2026.

Last close

$159.26

Nov 10, 2026 · −2.59% on the day

KATY call

BUY

run Nov 6, 2026

Path end (20 sessions)

$187.17

+16.49% from $160.66

Path range

+0.3% to +16.5%

lowest and highest point of the path

Replay record on BKNG

7/16 hits

43.8% · 9 misses

Options

CHEAP

IV 38% · 0.97× realized

Model path, not a price target · Not investment advice

The current read

KATY's latest public daily path for Booking Holdings, from its run on Nov 6, 2026, points up, which KATY labels BUY. Starting from the $160.66 close, the path ends 20 sessions later near $187.17 (+16.49%), around Dec 4, and ranges between +0.29% and +16.49% along the way. That is a model path, not a price target.

Since that run, BKNG has closed at $159.26 on Nov 10, 2026, −0.87% from the start, 2 of 20 sessions in. So far the move runs against the path. The call is scored after session 20.

On BKNG, KATY's replay record is 7 hits and 9 misses in 16 tested calls (43.8%), below its 50.1% rate across all tickers. Its most recent completed replay call expected +19.81% and BKNG moved +0.20%: a hit on direction.

In options, the at-the-money 2026-12-18 contract trades at 38% implied volatility against about 39% realized, 0.97× realized, so options read cheap. That is a pricing read, not a signal.

$142.71$167.97$193.23$218.49path end $187.17Aug 13, 2026Nov 10, 2026

Daily closes, with KATY's Nov 6, 2026 path drawn from its start close to its end point; the shaded wedge spans the path's lowest and highest points.

The KATY apps and extension show the newest BKNG path as soon as it runs, with the full step-by-step line on the chart. They are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

KATY's calls on BKNG

Every public BKNG path this page has captured, scored on the close 20 sessions after its start: a BUY is a hit if that close is higher, a SELL if it is lower.

RunCallStart closePath endOutcome at 20 sessions
Nov 6, 2026BUY$160.66$187.17 (+16.49%)Open, 2/20 sessions · −0.87% so far

Replay record

7 hits, 9 misses in 16 replayed BKNG calls (43.8% on direction; 37.5% finished inside the 1.5% band; average path error 119.93%). Across all tickers KATY's replay hit rate is 50.1% over 1,023 calls (BUY > +1.5%, SELL < -1.5% on the 20-step path). Replays re-run the model on past data it did not see; they are not live trades.

Last completed replay call on BKNG, step by step

KATY re-forecast the 20 sessions that just finished without seeing them. It expected +19.81%; the actual move was +0.20% (direction hit, average path error 11.39%).

StepSessionModel pathActual closePath vs actual
1Oct 12, 2026$160.80$158.43+1.50%
5Oct 16, 2026$165.67$163.45+1.36%
10Oct 23, 2026$173.62$155.83+11.42%
15Oct 30, 2026$184.59$148.13+24.61%
20Nov 6, 2026$192.11$160.66+19.58%

Options: rich or cheap?

The at-the-money 2026-12-18 BKNG option (38 days) is priced at 38.4% implied volatility, 0.97× the stock's realized volatility, which reads cheap. Cheap or rich is a pricing read, not a signal. See the full options-value screen.

Questions

What is KATY's forecast for BKNG stock?

KATY's latest public daily path for BKNG (run Nov 6, 2026) is BUY: from $160.66 it ends near $187.17 (+16.49%) after 20 sessions. It is a model path, not a price target. The newest path is in the KATY apps (free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership).

How accurate has KATY been on BKNG?

In replay, KATY called the direction of BKNG right 7 times and wrong 9 times out of 16 tested calls (43.8%). Public calls on this page are scored after 20 sessions and listed above, misses included.

How does KATY make a stock forecast?

KATY is a time-series foundation model that reads the recent daily bars of BKNG and draws the most likely path for the next 20 sessions. A path that ends more than 1.5% up is a BUY, more than 1.5% down a SELL, and anything in between is NEUTRAL. It is not investment advice.

Get KATY

KATY draws this forecast on your own charts: in TradingView with the Chrome extension, or on your phone. The extension and apps are free to install; live forecasts need KATY Premium or an FST membership.

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Not investment advice. KATY's output is a model path, not a price target and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Model forecasts are often wrong; the hit and miss counts on this page are shown so you can judge that yourself. Trading involves risk of loss. Data from QS Research; prices are daily closes and may lag.

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